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Last minute conversion: Paul Manly is right, and is the best strategic vote

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My last post on this blog got a little attention, where I thought a coin toss was the best solution to the hellish strategic voting conundrum in Nanaimo Ladysmith. I still stand by a lot of that post, especially the craziness of having 2 outstanding progressive candidates in a single riding. And, as opposed to how I see those excellent candidates, I remain very skeptical about both the Greens and the NDP as they have evolved in 2025. But I finally had a chance to look at Manly and his communications since he decided to run. Back before he decided to run here is the OraclePol from before and after Carney entered the race, all this having been included in an email from the Manly campaign April 4, 2025:  And here's the latest OraclePol just last Thursday April 23-24 as posted on the Manly campaign FaceBook page:  https://www.facebook.com/photo?fbid=1076517664294911&set=a.355419049738113 https://www.facebook.com/ElectPaulManly Kudos t6 Paul Manly and team for drawing attention...
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First-past-the-post hell in Nanaimo Ladysmith, sick of fingers crossed COIN TOSS 2025

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CANCELLED! Diana Krall Plaza, High Noon, Thursday, Apr.24, 2025 Too little response across social media for the to work. But let me know what you think of this as a hypothetical for future elections.  Everybody, please vote for gosh sakes! And if you already voted good on you! None of the following is meant to discourage voting. By the way, IGNORE the % chance of winning projections from 338. As someone who worked closely and co-published with statisticians in social research for decades, I say these percentages are BS and are meant to wrongly inflate the credibility of polls and projections. I think such projections gave false and damaging overconfidence of winning to the campaigns of Hillary Clinton, the Brexit opponents and Kamala Harris.  We are in first-past-the-post hell in Nanaimo Ladysmith. But it's not time to talk about electoral reform. It's time to talk about the vote on April 28th in Nanaimo LadySmith.  We have two terrific progressive candidates. This should...
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